Assessing COVID-19 in Jakarta Using Modified SIR Model
Jerry Dwi Trijoyo Purnomo and Achmad Choiruddin

Department of Statistics, Institut Teknologi Sepuluh Nopember

Abstract

Corona Virus Disease which is commonly referred to by the abbreviation COVID-19 is a disease that has hit the world in the past year so it is categorized as a pandemic. COVID-19 is a virus that interferes with human respiratory function, sufferers of this disease will experience respiratory problems and have a greater risk in patients who have a history of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, chronic respiratory disease, and cancer. COVID-19 is spread through droplets of saliva or fluids that come out when coughing or sneezing from an infected person. The Indonesian government, especially DKI Jakarta, is not standing still in the face of the pandemic that is happening in Indonesia, while the actions taken by the government are issuing policies in the form of Large-Scale Social Restrictions (PSBB), Enforcement of Restrictions on Community Activities (PPKM), and vaccinations. This research was conducted by describing the spread of COVID-19 in DKI Jakarta using the SIR (Suspected, Infectious, Recovered) model and examining the influence of government policies on the spread.

Keywords: COVID-19, Government Policy, SIR Model

Topic: Bioinformatics